Sunday, March 21, 2010

US Treasuries / Corporate Bonds' rates invert. "Exceedingly Rare."

Two-year notes sold by the billionaire’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. in February yield 3.5 basis points less than Treasuries of similar maturity, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Procter & Gamble Co., Johnson & Johnson and Lowe’s Cos. debt also traded at lower yields in recent weeks, a situation former Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. chief fixed-income strategist Jack Malvey calls an “exceedingly rare” event in the history of the bond market.

The $2.59 trillion of Treasury Department sales since the start of 2009 have created a glut as the budget deficit swelled to a post-World War II-record 10 percent of the economy and raised concerns whether the U.S. deserves its AAA credit rating. The increased borrowing may also undermine the first-quarter rally in Treasuries as the economy improves.

Sunday, March 14, 2010

Gold: commodity without a counterparty or credit risk

"It must still be early in the gold bubble. Two masters of the hedge fund universe, George Soros and John Paulson, have vastly increased their bets on gold."

"I've met privately with veteran investment managers like Morris Offit of Offit Capital Advisers and learned that gold is fast becoming a more highly weighted asset in portfolios. The gold bubble is a function of the growing unrest about the debasement of currencies, not only the dollar, but also the euro and other European currencies whose nations have too great a debt load and must raise gobs of money or risk default."

"Gold's investment glimmer is also a function of growing unease, specifically about the ability of the Obama Administration to reduce the budget deficit and finance extending health care. The rising interest in gold reflects a concern about America's place in the world, an expectation of slower growth in comparison with more dynamic economies in China, India and other developing nations."

Friday, March 5, 2010


Remember when 1 TRILLION was a big number. Well now it's $10 TRILLION. Do I hear a 100 TRILLION. How long until these numbers matter?

Not long now...